Margin Bet: Winning High-Risk Wager with Possible Surprising Value for a Punter – Explained

One kind of single sports betting market that concentrates on the ultimate goal differential is called Winning Margin. Because there are a lot of betting options and possible outcomes, it’s quite similar to Correct Score. However, it’s infamously difficult to get right, particularly if you intend to be consistent, just like Correct Score. For the astute bettor, however, it can offer unexpected value despite being a relatively high-risk wager.

This Winning Margin betting guide will examine this sometimes disregarded market in detail and help you decide if it’s worth your time when placing a bet at the best Kenyan betting sites in 2023 at Bookmaker-expert.com/country/kenya/ and other top-notch sportsbook online.

What’s a Winning Margin Bet?

One kind of wager that aims to forecast the exact number of goals that separates the winning team from the losing team is called a Winning Margin bet. The key word here is “exact“, as there’s only one goal as a possible option all the way to four (and more) goals as possible options.

This kind of bet appears in many different sports. Certain sports provide a variety of options, like basketball where the options are, say, 5-10 points. But our main focus will be on Winning Margin football wagers. Your options usually look something like 1+, 2+, 3+, and so on.

We’re willing to bet that you understand the connotations of these choices without much help. A 1+ Winning Margin wager essentially indicates that until minute 90, the winning team will lead their rivals by one goal. This includes a variety of possible match results, such as 1-0, 2-1, 3-2, and so forth. These would all support your football market’s 1+ Winning Margin.

But take note that we didn’t state that 0-1 would win the wager. This is so because choosing the winning team is a component of the wager as well. Say, for illustration, that you’re placing a wager on a Premier League game involving Manchester United (Team 1) and Arsenal (Team 2). The full-time selection would say Arsenal 2+ if you were betting on “The Gunners“ to win 2+. In this case, if the final score is 0-2, 1-3, 2-4, and so on, your bet would win.

As you may have guessed by now, it’s difficult to forecast a game’s outcome in such detail. Because of this, even for “safe“ choices, Winning Margin betting odds are frequently rather high and hardly ever fall below 3.00. Therefore, placing them in Multiples of any kind isn’t something we advise. Additionally, it’s not the best market for novices.

Variations to a Winning Margin Bet

The wager is generally sufficiently specific to not call for many variations. Although some bettors view it as a logical progression of Correct Score betting, that’s unimportant.

Nonetheless, there are some markets that are specifically related to Winning Margin betting. The first one is the No Goal bet, which forecasts a 0-0 outcome in the end. We won’t talk about it further because that seems more like the Correct Score.

It’s also possible to forecast that there’ll be no goal differential between the two teams. This wager is also referred to as the Score Draw wager. But, Score Draw is also functionally closer to a Correct Score because it eliminates the need to choose a team.

It’s crucial to remember that the Winning Margin betting market only takes into account the first 90 minutes of the game, regardless of your decision. Penalties and additional time aren’t taken into account.

How Do You Win Margin Bets?

This isn’t a betting style for the weak of the heart. We don’t advise it for novices due to the extensive analysis and understanding needed. It’s unlikely that selecting margins at random will produce useful outcomes. Play in another market without fear if you don’t think you have enough evidence to predict this precise difference.

The pre-match analysis is the single most important factor that will determine whether you win or lose on any bet you place, just like it’s with any other. Let’s get you headed in the right direction.

In order to accurately estimate the Winning Margin for the team you support, you must ascertain:

• The result at full-time.
• How many goals will each team score and concede?

Goal Analysis and Full-Time Result

Seasonal outcomes, current form, and a team’s value all influence the overall result. When the top teams play the bottom-table teams, they’ll win nine times out of 10. Any Winning Margin bet begins with a prediction of the final result (win, draw, or lose).

The tricky part is predicting how many goals each team is going to score and concede because there are a lot of factors to take into account. Let’s examine the most significant ones first.

• One team’s offensive prowess will meet the opposing defense head-on.
• The absence of important players on defense and offense.
• The weaker team may profit from the weather (as the more skilled squad is going to lose its advantage on a wet pitch as it will be harder to control the ball).
• When the team is given a red card, it has the power to tip the scales in favor of the opposing team.

Ways to Win Bets with a 1+ Margin

Pick games that are thought to be extremely tight (derby games, matches between teams with similar market values, tight knockout matches, competition finals like Champions League, Europa League, etc.) whenever you’re thinking about backing a team with a 1+ margin.

In order to understand why a certain Team A, the hosts, defeated Team B, the visitors, let’s dissect the hypothetical pre-match analysis of their match.

In the last five matches, Team A has had four successive losses followed by one win. Team B, on the other hand, has L, D, L, L, and D in the last five encounters.

Result Prediction for Full-Time

Before the game began, Team A and Team B were, let’s say, at the bottom of the table; therefore, a victory was imperative for both teams. Nevertheless, based on recent statistics, we can conclude that Team B would have a slight advantage because it was able to draw three times while Team A lost four of their previous five games.

The following significant factors are capable of negating the visitors’ apparent advantage:

• In these close games, where the supporters exert a lot of pressure on the other team and the referees by fervently supporting their heroes throughout the entire match, having the advantage of playing at home is invaluable.
• The opponents on Team A’s tougher schedule included league heavyweights like the defending champions and a couple of title contenders.
• Before Team A’s previous game, the owners made the decision to fire the head coach and name a new one, who had already made the team better by narrowly losing to a champion, say, 1-0.

Goals Each Team Has Scored and Conceded—Prediction

Since Team A’s coach was replaced, it’s advised to focus solely on the team’s performance under the new manager.

Team A demonstrated notable defensive improvements in its most recent game, allowing just one goal against the champions, compared to their previous average of 2.56 goals conceded per match, even though the champions won the game and all three points.

Playing against Team B, a team on the same level as Team A, after failing to score in their previous five games would suggest that Team A would score and win its first game of the season by a narrow margin.

Ways to Win Bets with a 2+ Margin

If you want to put yourself in a winning position when placing 2+ Winning Margin bets, try to select games between a potent team that plays tough away from home but scores goals frequently. Let’s examine the challenging match in which Atlético Madrid defeated 2-0 on the road in Osasuna on September 28.

Result Prediction for Full-Time

At one point during this season, Osasuna had only two victories out of eight games played. Given that their favorites finished strongly in the previous season and qualified to play in Europe, the fans are undoubtedly disappointed.

Conversely, Atlético Madrid’s confidence was bolstered following their 3-1 victory over Real Madrid in the Spanish capital derby. Choosing the winner wasn’t too difficult when considering the performances of both teams.

Goals Each Team Has Scored and Conceded—Prediction

When playing at home, Osasuna find it difficult to score; at one point, they only managed two goals in four games in front of their supporters. Since Atlético Madrid are known for having a strong defense, it was highly unlikely that they’d score.

Diego Simeone’s team was coming off a huge 3-1 victory over Real in their derby match, and they scored an amazing 2.83 goals per game this season. Given the recent outcomes, it was evident that another victory at a two-goal differential was on the horizon.

Ways to Win Bets with a 3+ Margin

It’s very tough to wager three or more Winning Margin bets because there are too many uncontrollable factors at play. Your best option will be to identify and support elite teams that play at home against inferior opponents. Let’s examine the potential pitfalls of betting on a team to win by a three-goal margin.

• After the team has secured three points via three goals, the coach is free to replace his best players. The opposing team may have an opportunity to score as a result.
• Some players tend to settle down and focus on the next game when they have a three-goal lead.
• If the weaker team is already behind three goals after half an hour of play, it may fall apart and give up more goals than it should have.

It’s best to support teams like Barcelona, Manchester City, and PSG if you want to improve your chances of winning. Don’t overlook other lesser-known leagues, where teams like RB Salzburg, Ferencváros, and Crvena Zvezda are stomping all over the competition.

Ways to Win Bets with a 4+ Margin

Compared to the previous three picks, we think it’s easier to win a 4+ margin bet because the score difference need not be exact. A couple of instances are Barcelona’s 5-0 thrashing of Betis and Antwerp in the same week and PSG’s 4-0 annihilation of Marseille at Parc de Princes. Bayern München outperformed Bochum with a 7-0 victory at their Allianz Arena.

Regarding the 3+ margin, we advise you to employ the same tactic of selecting elite teams playing against underdogs.

Additional Crucial Elements to Take into Account When Putting Margin Bets

• Examine head-to-head results.

When it comes to football wagers with winning margins, these are your greatest advantages. Usually, the best way to predict how things will go is to look at the two teams’ prior interactions. Ideally, your stats should come from as many games as possible this season.

• Close games provide slightly safer matchups.

Most of the time, you’re looking at margins of 1+ and 2+. The greatest danger in these situations is that the team you’re supporting will lose or draw. This market is an exact science, and games with large goal margins are frequently much more volatile and unpredictable.

• Keep up with the latest football news.

Such information, along with injuries, can completely skew the computation of your wager.

Choose the safer options instead. Options with lower odds are typically lower for a purpose. Even though a Champions League match’s 4+ margin seems tempting, it’s rarely worthwhile.